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Monday
Mar052018

Examining WIK's bandwidth demand forecast

As part of its wholesale local access market review, Ofcom recently published a bandwidth demand forecast by WIK. This forecast claimed that 40% of UK households would require 1Gbps or more downstream in 2025, and 82% would require 300 Mbps or more.

Such figures are appreciably above other forecasts. This note from Communications Chambers looks at WIK's assumptions and methodology to understand why.
Tuesday
Dec202011

Fact checking Stephen Conroy's NBN speech to the Press Club

On 13 December 2011 the Australian Communications Minister Stephen Conroy gave a speech to the National Press Club, making the case for the NBN, Australia’s government owned high-speed broadband network. This note reviews some of his claims.

Download the report here.

Friday
Aug292014

Forecasting Australian Bandwidth Demand

Following on from our work for the UK's Broadband Stakeholder Group looking at future demand for bandwidth, we were commissioned by Australia's Department of Communications to undertake a similar forecast for that country.

Our work was a critical input to the a wider, ground-breaking cost-benefit analysis of the different options for Australia's National Broadband Network.

Wednesday
Nov062013

Forecasting domestic UK broadband demand, 2013-2023

Communications Chambers were commissioned by the Broadband Stakeholder Group (BSG) to develop a model (and summary report) that  seeks to forecast UK domestic demand for broadband capacity. As far as we are aware, it is the first such model to be put into the public domain. 

The model combines the usage profiles of various applications with the usage of profiles of individuals. These individual profiles are then combined into various household profiles. 156 household profiles are modelled in the report, based on demographics, intensity of use and TV type.  The household profiles have also been combined to create a picture of national demand.
The work was supported by BSkyB, BT, Ofcom, TalkTalk, Three and Vodafone.
You can download the model, report and press release below. Comment and feedback is invited.

You may also be interested in subsequent work using a similar methodology:

Thursday
Nov032016

FTTP's role in UK connectivity

In this paper for BT, Robert Kenny argues for a targeted approach to the deployment of FTTP in the UK. While FTTP undoubtedly has a role to play - on greenfield sites, for example - there is scant evidence that a 'blunt' deployment of FTTP across the UK will be worthwhile, particularly given the lower cost and rapidly developing capabilities of other technologies.